Thursday, July 28, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that very early this morning a good size thunderbumper developed between Mazatlan and Los Mochas and moved out into the Sea toward La Paz. The La Paz airport and the local reporting stations did not register any rain, but I’m sure that they had at least sprinkles. It also looks like this Chubbasco could have spawned a few thunderbumpers back in the mountains northwest of La Paz this morning.
Over in Sonora there was a nice honker build to the east of Guaymas last night and then as it was dissipating it drifted over the Guaymas area with no rain being reported by the Weather Underground station in Guaymas.
This morning there are a lot of debris clouds around the La Paz area and the nearby islands. At 7am the southern crossing still had a blanket of debris clouds covering it.
Looking at the rest of the Sea I can see numerous areas with a scattered mix of fluffys and whispys in the central Sea and fewer to the south of Santa Rosalia this morning. Most of the Sea at one time or another had some cloudiness during the night or this morning.
I’d imagine that most of these fluffys will burn off by mid morning. The high whispys could be with us all day.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera where I can see that there were a few thumpers develop between Puerto Vallarta and Mazatlan last night. This morning they still could be seeing some light showers in that area.
Further south not a lot of thunderbumper activity along the coast even in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Further south embedded in the monsoon trough about 200 miles south and off the coast of El Salvador and Guatemala there is a developing low. This image is showing a lot of convection in that area however the basin has been purged dry by Dora so if it does develop it will be slow. The National Hurricane Center gives this only a 20% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. If this does develop into something cyclonic it will be named Eugene.
Looking over to the Yucatan I can see tropical storm Don right at the tip. He is forecast to move NW across the Gulf into SW Texas this weekend as a tropical storm.
I can also see that tropical wave that was over Cuba yesterday moving directly toward Don. It will most likely be absorbed by Dan and not move into our hood.
Well, that’s what’s going on in our tropical kitchen this morning. Looking north now to the west coast of America where today low pressure along the west coast will start to be replaced by high pressure which will bring a warming trend and clear skies into the weekend.
For southern California the high pressure will bring some moisture and instability into the region producing the threat of mountain and desert thunderbumpers.
Looking now over to the southwest this image is showing some high whispys moving up from Sonora into Arizona this morning. It’s thinning out as they move into Arizona.
Today and tomorrow the dry conditions do not favor much thunderbumper activity, however this weekend the flow of moisture up the Sierra Madra’s will bring the return of the monsoon. As an added bonus more moisture will be moving in from Texas as TS Don moves on shore this weekend.
Back on this side of the border it looks like we will continue to have a mix of Northerly and southerly winds in our forecast until that wandering thermal low parks over Yuma and starts heating up. Today the northern Sea will see light southerlies, the central Sea, the central Sea moderate east or Northeast winds this afternoon. The southern Sea light winds with a western flavor.
Temperatures in the mid to high 90s today.
73s Y'all
|